![]() Hill brings to the cage some of the smoothest boxing I’ve seen in a long time. 15), is riding his own four-fight undefeated streak. With his previous wins coming against Darko Stosic (1-3 UFC, now cut), Klidson Abreu (1-3 UFC, counting the no contest against Hill as a loss) and 38-year-old Ovince Saint Preux, the fight against Paul Craig is a major step up in competition for rising star Jamahal Hill.Ĭraig, who sits 14th in the light heavyweight rankings (one spot ahead of Hill at No. The Pick: Hakeem Dawodu via decision +460 ![]() I would bet his decision prop down to +350 I think we haven’t seen the best of Dawodu yet and that Tukhugov was a legitimate victory in his young career. Dawodu by decision is +460 on FanDuel, and we hit a big prop like that last week. He is a pretty sizable underdog (+195), but I think this should be closer to a pick ‘em.ĭawodu has only finished one opponent in almost four years. Moreover, if Dawodu is able to stop the takedown, which he has up to this point, I think he has a chance to take control of the fight. I think that Dawodu has top-tier takedown defense that he has showcased on plenty of occasions. I think Evloev is a good striker but I want to see how he does if he can’t land takedowns. That was a split decision win but it wasn’t as close as the judges made it out to be. His takedown defense is also excellent at 85% - third-best in the featherweight division.Įvloev fought Nik Lentz in his last fight. He also keeps his head off of the centerline pretty well. Evloev fancies himself as a striker with strong takedowns while Dawodu is a very good defensive fighter and counter puncher.ĭawodu is quick on his feet and does a great job at the defensive aspect of striking. Hakeem Dawoduĭawodu and Evloev are each on win streaks. Furthermore, I projected his odds to win inside the distance at +165, and I would play that prop down to about +186.Įrich Richter: Movsar Evloev vs. I projected Vendramini at 54%, and I would play his moneyline up to about -110. Still, there’s a strong possibility that he gets completely exposed on the mat by Vendramini, who is very aggressive and forced a 100% finish rate in his professional fights. ![]() Ziam is the better technician at range, and he’s the much taller man (+5 inches). He should have a big grappling edge against Ziam, who struggled to defend takedowns against inferior grapplers in Jamie Mullarkey (allowed 5-of-11 takedowns attempts) and Don Madge (3-of-12). Vendramini is the stronger man in this matchup. Luigi Vendraminiįor a more in-depth breakdown on this fight and the entire UFC 263 card, you can find my full breakdown, including my projections for all 14 fights here. Claim Offers Now Sean Zerillo: Fares Ziam vs.
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